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The United States government has reopened, prompting investors to await a wave of delayed economic reports.

Nigel Green, who leads the global deVere Group financial advisory firm, made these comments. Federal agencies are resuming operations following a 43 day funding impasse that started on October 1. Employees are returning to work as President Donald Trump signed a new budget into law after a narrow House of Representatives vote.

Markets reacted positively to the political resolution, but the underlying economic narrative remains uncertain. Investors now face a concentrated release of postponed data that will reveal if the economy cooled gradually or deteriorated unexpectedly during the shutdown. “The reopening matters for the country, but the meaning for investors is found in the information that returns from this week,” Green stated. He explained that markets have been operating without crucial numbers, creating a new dynamic.

All attention centers on the labor market. Private sector analyses during the shutdown indicated weekly job losses exceeding 11,000 by late October. The Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago’s real time unemployment estimate also suggested a minor increase. These signals implied fading momentum in the previously resilient jobs market. Investors now require official confirmation to validate these private findings.

Green emphasized the data’s critical role. “The labor market holds the key to the next stage,” he said. “Investors need official confirmation to judge whether this cooling is modest and manageable or something more serious.” This information will also provide the Fed with clarity it has lacked, directly influencing the December interest rate decision. Many economists anticipate a potential rate cut if the reports confirm slowing hiring and continued disinflation, though others believe the Fed will demand multiple months of clear data.

This debate grants the upcoming labor and inflation reports significant power over market sentiment. Green noted that if the data supports the pre-October trend of easing inflation, the conversation will shift toward more supportive policy. This scenario could renew investor interest in United States equities, particularly major technology stocks and companies linked to demand growth. While government agencies restart, they must process a substantial backlog of regulatory work and filings. For markets, the operational delays are less important than the restored schedule of federally verified statistical releases.

“The federal system can finally perform its role,” Green concluded. “The shutdown attracted headlines, but the real story begins with the flood of data that’s about to be published.” He characterized this as a decisive phase where investors will learn if the economy justifies its recent momentum, as the new numbers reveal the true condition of hiring, consumer spending, and prices.



Source: newsghana.com.gh